The Washington Nationals (41-81) close out their 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (67-56), seeking to clinch a series win. Sunday’s 1st pitch is Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 3-3
The Nationals took the first 2 games of the series 3-1 and 6-3, but lost Saturday night 2-1. They are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
The Padres have been scuffling a bit. They are 6-10 in their last 16 games. They still hold on to a wild-card spot right now.
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Nationals at Padres projected starters
LHP Patrick Corbin vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Corbin (4-16, 6.96 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.80 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 116 1/3 IP.
- Leads the majors in losses, hits allowed and earned runs allowed
- Has lost his last 6 decisions and the Nationals have lost his last 8 starts
Manaea (6-6, 4.83 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 123 IP.
- Hasn’t gone more than 5 innings in his last 3 starts and hasallowed 3 or more runs each
- Is 4-3 with 4.45 ERA at Petco Park this season
Nationals at Padres odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Nationals +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Padres -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-130) | Padres -2.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Nationals at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, Nationals 3
Money line
PASS on the money line. Corbin leads the majors in losses and the Nationals have lost his last 8 outings.
The Padres are struggling and Manaea has not had his best stuff over the last month, but betting the Nationals doesn’t make sense and at -300 it is way too expensive to bet the Padres.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Padres are 21-39 ATS at home this season, but the Nationals are no world beaters at 29-30 ATS on the road.
A 2.5 run line is tricky, but the Nationals’ last 6 losses with Corbin on the mound have been by 2 or more runs.
Eight of the Padres’ last 10 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
Take the PADRES -2.5 (+105).
Over/Under
Five of Corbin’s last 6 starts have had totals of 9 or more runs.
Eleven of the Nationals’ last 17 games have had 9 or more runs.
Take OVER 8.5 (-115).
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