The Philadelphia Phillies (63-51) and Cincinnati Reds (45-68) meet Monday to open a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is slated for a 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: first meeting. The Reds took 4 of 6 from Philadelphia in 2021.
The Phillies have lost 3 of their last 4 games — all in shutout fashion. Philadelphia went 10-1 with an .865 OPS from July 27-Aug. 7 but is just 3-3 with a .574 OPS since.
The Reds snapped a 5-game losing skid with an 8-5 win over the Chicago Cubs Sunday. That losing streak aside, Cincinnati has played better of late, and especially so at home. Cincy is 11-6 over its last 17 games in the Queen City.
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Phillies at Reds projected starters
RHP Noah Syndergaard vs. LHP Mike Minor
Syndergaard (6-8, 3.96 ERA) has registered a 1.28 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 91 IP over 17 starts.
- Owns a 4.50 ERA over his last 40 IP.
- Threw 96 pitches in his last start. Owns a 6.38 ERA this season in his next-time-out turns after starts of 90-plus.
Minor (1-9, 6.24 ERA) has made 12 starts this season. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 62 IP.
- Albeit in an injury-shortened season (his first start was not until June 3 due to a shoulder injury), has thus far logged career-worst figures in ERA and home runs per 9 innings (2.6).
- Has a 5.8 BB/9 since the All-Star break, and that has fed into a 1.75 WHIP over that 4-game stretch.
Phillies at Reds odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Reds +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Reds +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Reds 4
Money line
The Reds are somewhat buoyed by an out-of-whack 15-13 mark in 1-run games.
The Phillies’ offense is on its best side against southpaws (.772 OPS vs. lefty pitching, .714 OPS vs. right-handers), and its bullpen which has been banged up by high batting average on balls in play of late is in better shape — especially the back end — heading into this series.
BACK THE PHILLIES (-190).
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Run line/Against the spread
Cincinnati’s offense is just good enough at home (.745 OPS) to make the 2-run cushion dicey. AVOID, or at least wait out a better tag on the Phils -1.5 (-115) side.
Over/Under
There are multiple factors here that point to pitching and batting for both teams being due for better or worse days. It all makes for a muddy picture and brings us to a PASS.
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