The Cincinnati Reds (42-61) and Miami Marlins (47-57) will wrap up their season series Wednesday with their 7th meeting of the year. First pitch from loanDepot park will be at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Reds lead 4-2
The Reds took the first 2 games of this 3-game series in low-scoring affairs, beating the Marlins 3-1 Monday and 2-1 Tuesday. They’ve now won 4 games in a row and haven’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of those games.
The Marlins have gone ice cold recently, losing 5 straight contests and only plating 9 total runs during that stretch. They were swept by the New York Mets in a 3-game set over the weekend.
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Reds at Marlins projected starters
LHP Mike Minor vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara
Minor (1-7, 6.31 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 51 1/3 IP.
- The Reds have lost his last 7 turns and are 1-9 in his starts this season.
- Has given up at least 3 earned runs in 7 of his 10 starts this season but gave up just 2 to the Baltimore Orioles Friday in his last outing.
Alcantara (9-4, 1.99 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 149 1/3 IP.
- Alcantara leads the National League in ERA and leads all of MLB in innings pitched and complete games (2) this season.
- Allowed 4 runs in 5 innings against the Mets Friday but allowed just 8 total runs across 5 starts in July.
Reds at Marlins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Reds +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Marlins -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-135) | Marlins -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Reds at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 4, Reds 3
Money line
Even though the Marlins have lost 5 games in a row, they’re the heavy favorites in this matchup for one simple reason: Alcantara. He’s their stopper and should be able to end this losing skid.
However, at -210, it’s not worth a bet straight-up. They’re a good team to include in a parlay, but I’d rather bet on the run line. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Reds were underdogs in each of the first 2 games of the series, and they still managed to win outright, thus covering the run line. With Alcantara on the mound, however, the Marlins will bounce back. I just don’t think they’ll cover the spread.
They aren’t scoring enough runs right now and I think the Reds will keep the score close enough to cover. Bet the REDS +1.5 (-135).
Over/Under
The Over/Under line is set lower at just 6.5 runs, in part because a total of 7 runs were scored in the last two games between these teams. As bad as both offenses are playing right now, I still like the OVER 6.5 (-122) because the line is so low.
The total has gone Under in 4 of their 6 meetings this year.
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