Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (40-41) and the Kansas City Royals (31-51) play the middle contest of a 3-game set at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead series 5-3

The Guardians saw their 4-game win streak in this series snapped with a 4-3 walk-off win by the Royals Friday night in the series opener.

The Royals have won 3 of the 5 meetings against the Guardians at Kauffman Stadium this season, although Kansas City is just 10-21 in the past 31 overall at home.

Guardians vs. Royals projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Jonathan Heasley

McKenzie (5-6, 3.71 ERA) makes his 15th start of the season, and 16th overall performance. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 87 1/3 IP.

  • Is 3-5 with a 3.72 ERA and .211 opponents’ batting average in 58 IP across 9 road starts and 1 relief appearance this season.
  • Allowed 2 ER, 2 H and 2 BB in just 3 IP in a loss at Kansas City April 7 in his first outing of the season.

Heasley (1-4, 4.76 ERA) makes his 11th start of the season. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 51 IP.

  • Has managed a 1-3 record, 5.40 ERA and .256 opponents’ batting average across 21 2/3 IP in 4 home outings.
  • Yielded 3 ER, 6 H and 3 BB across 6 IP in a no-decision at Cleveland May 30.

Guardians vs. Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Guardians vs. Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Royals 2

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-130) are a strong play on the road behind McKenzie, a.k.a. “Sticks”. The right-hander twirled 7 scoreless IP with just 1 H and 1 BB allowed with 7 K in a win over the New York Yankees last time out.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+125) are worth a roll of the dice with a small-unit play. All 5 of Cleveland’s victories against Kansas City this season were by 4 or more runs. So if you like the Guardians to win, you should feel confidence in playing the run line.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (+105) is the lean and a value at plus-money.

There is a little concern with the Royals using the inconsistent Heasley, but Kansas City should have issues scoring on McKenzie. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings in this series, too, including Friday’s series opener.

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