The Los Angeles Angels (27-25) head to Citizens Bank Park Friday to start a 3-game interleague set with the Philadelphia Phillies (22-29) at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The big news was Philadelphia’s firing of manager Joe Girardi Friday morning amidst the team’s subpar start to 2022. Bench coach Rob Thomson will serve as interim manager the rest of the season.
The club, which had Thursday off, did win Girardi’s last game, snapping a 5-game losing skid by beating the San Francisco Giants 6-5 at home Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the Angels enter on an 8-game skid. They were swept 4-0 at home by the Toronto Blue Jays before losing 3 in a row, including a doubleheader Thursday, at the New York Yankees.
Angels at Phillies projected starters
RHP Chase Silseth vs. RHP Zach Eflin
Silseth is 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 13 H, 2 HR, 6 BB and 10 K in 3 starts.
- Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 4-3 home loss to Toronto Blue Jays May 27
- Won only road start, beating Oakland A’s 2-0 in MLB debut May 13 – allowing just 1 hit in 6 scoreless innings with 2 BB and 4 K
Eflin is 1-4 with a 4.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 43 IP across 8 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-2 setback at New York Mets Saturday
- Never faced the Angels during 7-year career
Angels at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:46 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Angels +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Angels at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Angels 3
Money line
BET PHILLIES (-125).
Eflin grades highly in several pitching peripherals and has been very good at home this season. He is in the 80th percentile or better in exit velocity, hard-hit rate, expected ERA, expected wOBA and BB%, per Statcast.
Eflin has a 1.57 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 in his 4 starts at home this season (8.10, 1.70 7.2 on the road). A major reason for his success at home is due to Citizens Bank Park having the lowest park factor – which means it’s the most pitcher-friendly venue in MLB.
The Phillies parted ways with Girardi because they are better than their record indicates. They have a minus-4 luck factor, meaning they have 4 fewer wins based on run differential. So, Philly isn’t “bad,” just underperforming.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Phillies -1.5 (+160) just fired their manager and are 8-15 ATS as home favorites this season. No thanks.
Also, the Angels +1.5 (-200) are a lot more productive at the plate vs. right-handed pitching and Philly’s bullpen is suspect.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+105) based Citizens Bank Park’s aforementioned park factor, L.A.’s 0-3 O/U record when Silseth is on the hill, Philly’s 11-14-2 O/U home record and rough batting numbers against right-handed pitching.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]