Toronto FC (3 wins, 3 losses, 2 draws) welcomes FC Cincinnati (2-5-1) to BMO Field Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.
Toronto FC is coming off a thrilling 4-5 loss to NYCFC. Toronto has had quite the season, scoring 15 goals in 8 games and allowing 17. Those respectively rank second and tied for last.
It plays at an ultra-high pace and has seen 16 goals scored in its last 3 games. Toronto is led by 28-year-old Spanish F Jesús Jiménez who has 6 goals on the season.
As for FC Cincinnati, it has allowed 2 goals per game yet has only allowed more than 2 goals twice, once to Austin FC to open the season and against Montreal CF.
FCC has looked better than it did a season ago but still sits last in the Eastern Conference. FCC’s main weapon is F Breener, but it has been F Brandon Vazquez that has led the team in scoring with 5 goals.
Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati odds, lines, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Toronto FC -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | FC Cincinnati +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -190 | U: +155)
[tipico]
Prediction
Toronto FC 2, FC Cincinnati 0
Money line (ML)
BET on TORONTO FC -135.
FC Cincinnati is actually averaging more points per game on the road than at home. That should change as the season progresses.
Toronto, on the other hand, has lost just once at home, a 4-1 defeat at the hand of the New York Red Bulls.
While Toronto may have a horrible defense that’s allowed numerous goals, FCC’s offense has been held scoreless in half its games. Also, in both the road games that FCC did not lose, it has fewer expected goals.
You’re getting in a little late as it was steamed up to -135 from -111 overnight. FCC is the worst team in the East, and at this value, I’d bet they struggle on the road.
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN to the UNDER 2.5 (+155).
This is strictly a value play. While Toronto’s offense has scored at will, its expected goals haven’t kept pace.
It’s scored 8 goals in its last 3 games yet had just 1.9 expected goals. It has capitalized on opportunities but has not had many of them. Toronto is t-16 in shots on goal.
Also, FCC has had a few big-time games that it has scored numerous goals, but that hasn’t been its regular style.
With how Toronto has scored a flunky amount of goals to shots on target and FCC has struggled in several games, for this value, I’ll take the Under 2.5 (+155).
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