The Chicago Cubs (7-9) open a 3-game road series against the Atlanta Braves (7-10) Tuesday. First pitch is 7:20 p.m. at Truist Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
This is the first meeting this season. Atlanta won 5 of 7 games from the Cubs last year, outscoring them 48-35.
The Cubs just wrapped up a 2-5 homestand, losing 3 of 4 to the Pittsburgh Pirates last weeked, including a 4-3 loss on Sunday.
The Braves have lost 2 of 3 in their homestand so far, losing twice to the Miami Marlins.
Cubs at Braves projected starters
RHP Marcus Stroman vs. LHP Max Fried
Stroman (0-2, 8.78 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 6 BB and 14 K in 13 1/3 IP.
- The Cubs are 0-3 in his starts this season. He has allowed 13 runs (12 earned) in his last 8 1/3 innings.
- In 6 career starts against the Braves, Stroman is 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA over 30 innings.
Fried (1-2, 3.50 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1 BB and 17 K in 18 IP.
- Picked up his first win in his last outing, throwing 7 shutout innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Has never lost to the Cubs, going 3-0 in 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA.
Cubs at Braves odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Cubs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-140) | Braves -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)
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Cubs at Bravespicks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Cubs 2
Money line
Both pitchers have had career success against the other team. Fried is 3-0 ts against the Cubs with a 1.59 ERA while Stroman is 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA against the Braves.
Stroman, though, has been knocked around a bit in his last 2 starts, while Fried is rounding into form.
The Cubs have lost 5 of their last 6 games.
Take the BRAVES (-180).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Cubs are 9-7 ATS so far this season and 8-2 ATS as underdogs.
The Braves are 6-11 ATS this season and only 3-8 ATS as favorites. Their last 5 victories have been by at least 2 runs.
But unless Stroman pitches better than he has, I don’t think it will matter, especially if Fried can follow up his last start with another good one.
Things could get interesting in the game when the bullpens get involved. The Cubs have the fifth-lowest bullpen ERA in the majors at 2.54, while Atlanta has the second-highest at 4.38.
Still, take the BRAVES -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under
Ten of the Cubs’ 16 games this season have had 8 or more runs, although 3 of their last 4 have had 7 or fewer.
Five of the Braves’ first 6 games this season had 8 or more runs, but since then, only 4 of their last 11 have. Only 2 of their 7 wins have had more than 7 runs.
Take UNDER 7.5 (+105).
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