The Phoenix Suns (36-9) host the first of a home-and-away back-to-back set with the Utah Jazz (30-17) Monday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Utah lost for the third time in its last four games Sunday when it fell 94-92 at the Golden State Warriors and pushed as a 2-point road underdog. The Jazz are 20-25-2 against the spread (ATS) and 23-23-1 Over/Under (O/U).
The Suns won their sixth consecutive game Saturday by beating the Indiana Pacers 113-103 in Phoenix but failed to cover as a 13.5-point home favorite. The Suns are 25-20 ATS and 19-25-1 O/U.
Phoenix won and covered in all three meetings last regular season with Utah and the total was 2-1 O/U in those games.
Jazz at Suns odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:08 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Jazz +370 (bet $100 to win $370) | Suns -520 (bet $520 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +9.5 (-122) | Suns -9.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Jazz at Suns key injuries
Jazz (not officially submitted)
- SF Bojan Bogdanovic (knee) questionable
- C Rudy Gobert (calf) questionable
- SG Donovan Mitchell (concussion) questionable
- C Hassan Whiteside (reconditioning) questionable
Suns
- C Deandre Ayton (ankle) doubtful
- PF Jae Crowder (wrist) out
- PG Cameron Payne (wrist) out
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Jazz at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Suns 115, Jazz 111
Money line
PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Jazz (+370) since I “lean” to Utah getting the points in this spot and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover.
However, this pricing suggests the oddsmakers think the Jazz could be without several key contributors. Mitchell missed Utah’s game Sunday against Golden State and Gobert was listed as questionable but ended up playing roughly 36 minutes versus the Warriors.
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the JAZZ +9.5 (-122) since I’d prefer to wait closer to tip-off to see each team’s official starting 5, even if that means I got a worse price on Utah.
But, the Suns are mispriced. I see more value in fading Phoenix than following it because the Suns could be without two starters and don’t perform very well in this spot.
Phoenix is 1-6 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record and has a minus-7.7 ATS margin at home versus teams in the top-10 of adjusted net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
While the Jazz are third in adjusted net rating (plus-6.4) and eighth in ATS margin (plus-3.8) against top-10 teams, per CTG.
“LEAN” to the JAZZ +9.5 (-122) that would be upgraded to a “like” if Utah gets some good injury news before tip-off.
Over/Under
BET the OVER 220.5 (-112) for 1 unit because it’ll probably be the least wagered side of the whole Jazz-Suns meeting and that’s typically where you find profit in sports betting.
A vast majority of the market is hammering the Under for all the obvious reasons according to Pregame.com. Utah has gone Under the total in four straight, Phoenix is 1-5 O/U in its last six games and both teams could be missing offensive firepower.
However, both teams have offensive edges they can exploit in this matchup. Phoenix likes to push the pace and get out in transition but Utah has the second-worst defensive efficiency versus fastbreak offense.
Also, the Jazz are an elite offensive rebounding team and are very efficient in pick-and-roll (PnR) action through the roll-man. Well, the Suns are 24th in second-chance points per game allowed and have the second-worst defensive efficiency versus the roll-man in PnR action.
The OVER 220.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.
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