On Tuesday evening, the No. 14 Iowa State Cyclones (14-3) travel to United Supermarkets Arena to take on the No. 19 Texas Tech Red Raiders (13-4). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Iowa State at Texas Tech odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Cyclones are coming into this game having played a brutal conference stretch to this point. Four of their last five games have been against top-25 opponents.
They’re 2-3 overall in that stretch with losses to Baylor, Kansas and Oklahoma. They defeated Texas Tech earlier in the year at home. Iowa State is a conference-best 11-6 ATS this season.
The Red Raiders are 10-7 ATS, the second-best ATS record in the Big 12. Despite an 11-point defeat by Kansas State, they’ve beaten Baylor and Kansas, both top-ten teams, in their last four games.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Iowa State at Texas Tech odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Iowa State +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Texas Tech -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +8.5 (-115) | Texas Tech -8.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Iowa State at Texas Tech odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas Tech 64, Iowa State 60
Money line
PASS on the money line.
Home-court advantage matters too much to bet on the upset at +290, especially with Iowa State being given 8.5 points on the spread. That’s the preferred way to bet this game.
Against the spread
BET on IOWA STATE +8.5 (-115).
Iowa State welcomed Texas Tech and beat them by 4 points earlier in the year. While Tech has a few impressive victories since then, they’ve also lost to an underwhelming Kansas State team by 11.
Both teams have seniors as three of their top four scorers, so there will be a ton of experience on the court, which should bode well for this being a close-fought game.
What the Cyclones do well is shoot from deep, averaging the fourth-most 3-pointers per game in conference play. That’s the weakness of the Red Raiders, allowing in-conference opponents to hoist up 24.4 3-pointers per game.
With Iowa State G Izaiah Brockington shooting 39% from deep, I expect him and a veteran Cyclones team to be able to keep this game within 8.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 129.5 (-115).
As noted, both teams are led by seniors and thrive defensively. That’s going to bode well for a slower pace, which is exactly what we saw in the 51-47 matchup in Iowa.
Both teams are 7-10 O/U this season, so it’s been profitable to bet against more points in their respective games so far.
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