The Indiana Hoosiers (2-9, 0-8 Big Ten) and Purdue Boilermakers (7-4, 5-3) play for the Old Oaken Bucket Saturday. Kickoff in West Lafayette, Indiana is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (on FS1). Below, we look at the Indiana vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
The Hoosiers enter on a 7-game slide after last week’s 35-14 loss as 8-point home underdogs to Minnesota. Indiana is only the Big Ten team without a conference win this season.
It’s been quite the unexpected turnaround for an IU squad that went 6-1 last regular season, which included wins over Penn State, Michigan, Michigan State and Wisconsin.
The Boilermakers are coming off a 32-14 victory over Northwestern at Wrigley Field. QB Aidan O’Connell and WR Milton Wright connected for 3 touchdown passes as Purdue covered the spread as an 11-point favorite.
O’Connell finished with 423 yards and the 3 TDs to Wright, who hauled in a career-high 213 receiving yards.
See also: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports
Indiana at Purdue odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:55 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Indiana +470 (bet $100 to win $470) | Purdue -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +14.5 (-110) | Purdue -14.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Indiana at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 34, Indiana 14
Money line
PASS. Purdue will prevail, but the -700 price is way too steep.
Against the spread
PURDUE -14.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.
ATS records: Indiana 2-9 | Purdue 6-5
Betting against the Hoosiers has been a moneymaker. IU covered just two games this season, a 56-14 win over Idaho as a 31.5-point home favorite in its second game of the season and a 38-35 loss as a 3.5-point road underdog four games ago.
A year ago, the Hoosiers posted a 7-0 ATS regular-season record before dropping a 26-20 decision as 7.5-point favorites to Ole Miss in the Outback Bowl.
Over/Under
UNDER 50.5 (-108) is the play.
O/U records: Indiana 6-5 | Purdue 3-8
The Boilermakers average 26.0 points per game (PPG) to rank 84th in the country.
The Hoosiers are even worse at finding the end zone. They average 18.2 points per game to rank 121st. They’ve only scored 16 points or more once in their last seven games.
I don’t see why anything changes here.
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JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
Since July 8 | 78-53 | 32-19 | +22.74 |
2021 NCAA football | 5-0 | 2-0 | +4.2 |
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment |
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