Alabama at Auburn odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1, 6-1 SEC) and Auburn Tigers (6-5, 3-4) continue their 128-year-old rivalry Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET in Auburn’s Jordan-Hare Stadium. Below, we look at the Alabama vs. Auburn odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Alabama earned a hard-fought 42-35 victory over Arkansas last Saturday. QB Bryce Young threw for 559 yards and five touchdowns in the triumph in Tuscaloosa.

The Crimson Tide rank eighth in the nation in passing with 344.1 yards per game and second nationally with 44.4 points per game — only Ohio State has scored more.

The Tigers dropped their third straight game Saturday when they fell 21-17 at South Carolina as the Gamecocks held Auburn to just three points over the final 45 minutes. The Tigers are now 0-3 ATS over their last three games and are 2-6 ATS across their last eight games played in Weeks 10-13.

Alabama leads the Iron Bowl series 47-37-1. The two sides have split the last four games; Alabama won the 2020 meeting by a score of 42-13. The Tide didn’t allow an Auburn touchdown until late in the fourth quarter in that meeting.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Alabama at Auburn odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:22 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Alabama -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100) | Auburn +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -20.5, -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Auburn +20.5, -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57.5, O: -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | U: -108 (bet $108 to win $100)

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Alabama at Auburn odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 38, Auburn 20

Money line

PASS: figure the true odds as being obscured in the middle, and that saps the value from both plays.

Against the spread

The home side has held sway in recent games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the Crimson Tide are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games at Auburn.

The Auburn passing game — the Tigers’ preferred method of locomotion — doesn’t rely on a lot of big plays but it is one that does well to stay ahead of the chains.

And not being too run-reliant is a key against the Alabama defense. Auburn also does well to stifle havoc plays, and that’s another big key against the Tide.

Any “turnover luck” in the numbers has helped Alabama while hurting their neighbors to the east.

BACK THE TIGERS +20.5 (-112).

Over/Under

The Tigers will utilize their aerial game, and the Crimson Tide will want as many style points as they can muster. On a decent-weather day in the Yellowhammer State, TAKE THE OVER 57.5 (-112).

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