The Air Force Falcons (7-3, 4-2 Mountain West) visit the Nevada Wolf Pack (7-3, 4-2) Friday at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nev. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Air Force vs. Nevada odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
The Falcons halted a two-game losing streak with an emphatic 35-21 win at Colorado State, their first cover since Oct. 16. The surprising Over result also ended a 4-0 Under run for Air Force.
The Wolf Pack were on the short end of a 23-21 decision at San Diego State last Saturday. They are now 2-2 across their past four outings. The Under has connected in each of the past two games.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Air Force at Nevada odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:21 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Air Force +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Nevada -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +1.5 (-110) | Nevada -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Air Force at Nevada odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Nevada 29, Air Force 18
Money line
NEVADA (-125) is going to rebound against Air Force, especially on its home field, but it is going to be a grind all evening. The Falcons defense is stout, ranking fifth in the nation with 288.3 total yards per game allowed. More impressive, Air Force is yielding just 184.1 yards per game through the air to rank 14th in the country. The Falcons will make life frustrating for the Wolf Pack aerial attack and NFL prospect QB Carson Strong.
Against the spread
NEVADA -1.5 (-110) is slightly cheaper and worth the play. The Wolf Pack look to bounce back after a close loss at San Diego State, and should be able to get things moving at home. However, it isn’t going to be easy, and the Falcons do not give up huge chunk plays like the Wolf Pack would like. Nevada wants those big downfield strikes from Strong to WR Romeo Doubs, but the opportunities will be few and far between.
Over/Under
The UNDER 52.5 (-110) is the lean in this Mountain West battle in Reno. The Under is 6-2 in the past eight on the road for Air Force, and an impressive 17-5 across its past 22 games overall. The Under is also 4-0 in the past four against winning teams for the Falcons.
As for the Wolf Pack, the Over is 5-2-1 in the past eight overall. However, the Under is 10-2-1 in the past 13 at home against teams with a winning road mark, and 34-15 in the previous 49 as favorites.
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