The New England Patriots (6-4) visit the Atlanta Falcons (4-5) in Week 11 for Thursday Night Football at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Patriots vs. Falcons odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Patriots roughed up the Cleveland Browns 45-7 in Week 10, winning and covering for the fourth consecutive game. The Pats are averaging 37.5 PPG across the past four outings, while yielding 12.5 PPG. The Over is 5-1 in the past six for the Patriots.
The Falcons scored a season-low three points last weekend at the Dallas Cowboys, getting trucked 43-3. While Atlanta is 1-2 SU/ATS across the past three games, at least they’re 2-0 SU/ATS this season vs. AFC East teams with the Over hitting in each outing.
Also see: All Week 11 odds and lines
Patriots at Falcons odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:21 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Patriots -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Falcons +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
- Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -6.5 (-110) | Falcons +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Patriots at Falcons key injuries
Patriots
- P Jake Bailey (knee) questionable
- OL Trent Brown (calf) questionable
- DB Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
- K Nick Folk (knee) questionable
- LB Dont’a Hightower (ankle) questionable
- OL Shaq Mason (abdomen) questionable
- CB Jalen Mills (forearm) questionable
- TE Jonnu Smith (shoulder) questionable
- LB Kyle Van Noy (groin) questionable
- DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (illness) questionable
Falcons
- RB Cordarrelle Patterson (ankle) questionable
- S Jaylinn Hawkins (ankle) questionable
- TE Hayden Hurst (ankle) out
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Patriots at Falcons odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Patriots 30, Falcons 16
Money line
Patriots (-290) will cost you nearly three times your return. That’s just too expensive. Last Thursday night’s upset by the Miami Dolphins of the favored Baltimore Ravens should serve as a cautionary tale.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The PATRIOTS -6.5 (-110) have been playing very good football lately, looking like the contender we’ve known for the better part of the past two decades. New England “should” be able to win this one by at least one touchdown, but that’s always risky business on the road, so go lightly.
Over/Under
The UNDER 47.5 (-115) is the play here. It’s all about the Under lately in Thursday night tilts, going 7-1 across the past eight games. The short week is tough, and scoring is at a premium with the quick turnaround. Take advantage, and ride the trend hard.
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