Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins Week 9 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Texans (1-7) travel to meet the Miami Dolphins (1-7) Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET and will be televised on FOX. Below, we look at the Texans vs. Dolphins odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Texans won 37-21 in Week 1 against the Jacksonville Jaguars but they haven’t been victorious since. Houston has covered just two of its past six  games since opening the season 2-0 ATS, while cashing the Under in four of its last six.

The Dolphins also won their only game of the season back in Week 1, edging the New England Patriots 17-16 in Foxboro. Miami has lost seven straight, going 1-5-1 ATS during the span. The Dolphins are 0-3 SU/ATS at home, allowing 30.7 PPG in those outings.

Texans at Dolphins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:17 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texans +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dolphins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texans +5.5 (-108) | Dolphins -5.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texans at Dolphins key injuries

Texans

  • LB Christian Kirksey (thumb) out
  • QB Deshaun Watson (not injury related) out
  • TE Pharaoh Brown (thigh) out

Dolphins

  • QB Tua Tagovailoa (ribs, finger) questionable
  • LB Jerome Baker (knee) questionable

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Texans at Dolphins odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 24, Texans 19

Money line

The Dolphins (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return to bet straight up. Can you really risk that much on a team that is winless at home, and which enters on a seven-game losing streak?

AVOID.

Against the spread

The TEXANS +5.5 (-108) are the lean here in this “Toilet Bowl” game between the two worst teams in the AFC. Houston is the more attractive play because Miami has lost all of its games at home while failing to cover each, and Tua is nicked up and a question mark, which might mean QB Jacoby Brissett makes an appearance.

Over/Under

The UNDER 46.5 (-110) is the lean here. We have two really bad offenses taking the field in South Florida. Houston ranks 31st in total yards (281.1), 30th in passing yards (205.0) and 32nd in rushing yards (76.1) per game, while also ranking last with 14.9 PPG.

Miami is 25th in passing yards (223.3), so it can be somewhat functional at times, but it ranks 30th in total yards (301.9) and rushing yards (78.6) per game, which posting just 17.3 PPG (29th).

Points will be at a premium, although both defenses aren’t very good, either.

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