ESPN FPI: Georgia’s chances of beating Kentucky

ESPN’s FPI is not messing around with this one

No. 1 Georgia is a heavy favorite to beat No. 11 Kentucky on Saturday in Athens.

Despite a solid defense and great running back play from Wildcats running back Chris Rodriguez, nobody is giving Kentucky much of a chance to hang with UGA.

Consider ESPN’s Football Power Index another doubter of the Wildcats.

The FPI is giving UGA a 95.4% chance of beating Kentucky on Saturday.

Let me rephrase this just so we are all on the same page: Georgia has a 95.4% chance of beating the No. 11 team in America.

ESPN defines its FPI as a “measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.”

The Bulldogs are favored by 23.5 points. Georgia should certainly win this game, but that’s an awfully large spread for a game that should see a lot of defense. UGA has not beaten Kentucky by that many points since 2017, when Kentucky finished with a 7-6 record.

Kentucky usually plays Georgia close. We’ll see how it unfolds on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.

All Betting Lines are courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook.

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