The Atlanta Braves (78-70) go for their third win in a row in the second game of a four-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (48-102) Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Braves will go with a bullpen game as RHP Jessee Chavez (3-2, 2.67 ERA) opens the game for his second start of the season. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 27 IP across one start and 26 relief appearances.
- Allowed 2 earned runs over 2 1/3 innings in a loss during his previous appearance as an opener.
- Has given up only 1 run over 8 2/3 innings across his last nine outings.
Diamondbacks RHP Luke Weaver (3-5, 4.42 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 55 IP.
- This is his fourth start since coming off the injured list.
- Has allowed 6 earned runs over 9 innings through his last two starts.
Braves at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Prediction
Braves 7, Diamondbacks 3
Money line (ML)
The Braves took the series opener Monday 11-4. They are now 2-2 against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona has lost its last six, and eight of its last nine, games at home. The Diamondbacks have just four wins in their last 21 games and are 28-44 at home and 28-67 against teams with a winning record.
Take the BRAVES (-160).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Braves are 70-78 ATS overall and have covered the spread in three of their last four games. However, they are 8-9 ATS in their last 17 games and are 1-3 ATS against Arizona.
The Diamondbacks, despite being 28-44 straight up at Chase Field, are 38-34 ATS at home but are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Arizona has been dropping games against the spread in bunches recently. It has not been able to avoid consecutive ATS losses since August 24, resulting in multiple streaks of at least 3 ATS losses in a row. Their 11-4 loss to the Braves on Monday ended a three-game cover streak, so if the trend continues, they will not cover tonight either.
Betting the Diamondbacks on the money line or the spread is just not a good bet at this time of year. Take the BRAVES -1.5 (+100).
Over/Under (O/U)
Chase Field has the highest Over percentage of any ballpark at 60.9%. Seven of the last nine games there have had totals of 10 runs or more.
Monday’s game was the first in four matchups between the two teams to have more than 10 combined runs.
Each of Weaver’s three starts since coming off the IL had totals of 10 or more runs.
Take OVER 9.5 (-107).
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