The Colorado Rockies (68-78) and Atlanta Braves (76-68) clash in a Thursday matinee as they close out a three-game series at Truist Park. First pitch is slated for 12:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 12-10 with a 3.93 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 167 IP spanning 29 starts.
- Coming off 6 scoreless innings in a Friday start at the Philadelphia Phillies. Had carded a 7.77 ERA over his previous five outings.
- Has pitched better at home this season with a 3.16 ERA compared to a 4.93 ERA on the road.
- Current Atlanta batters own a 1.009 OPS against him. The Braves are seeing Marquez for a second time this month. He logged 5 IP against Atlanta Sept. 4 and allowed 4 runs (2 earned) on 5 hits and a walk.
RHP Ian Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 7-5 with a 3.61 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 over 109 2/3 IP across 21 starts.
- Scuffled in a Sept. 4 start at Coors Field with 4 ER on 5 H and 4 BB over 3 IP.
- Benefits from a .279 batting average on balls in play.
- Owns a 5.63 ERA over his last four starts and has averaged just 4 innings per turn over that stretch.
Rockies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Prediction
Rockies 5, Braves 4
Money line (ML)
Colorado has won three games in a row, including the first two games of this set. The Rockies have won five of their last six, and they are a solid 16-12 since Aug. 16. One caution flag: six of Colorado’s last seven wins were of the one-run variety.
Atlanta’s offense has sputtered a bit at home over the second half of the season. The Braves are a top-10 attack overall, but they own a mere .718 OPS over their last 25 games at Truist Park.
The calculation for this one has an improving Colorado nine being attractively priced against a fade candidate in Ian Anderson.
TAKE THE ROCKIES (+155).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Although the Braves aren’t a great team at home (37-36), the Rockies are no great shakes away from Coors at 23-51.
With the Rockies being 79-67 against the run line, consider a COLORADO +1.5 (-135) insurance play paired with the above.
Over/Under (O/U)
Cross signals here, fading both Anderson and the Atlanta bats. PASS.
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