In a middleweight bout in the main event, Derek Brunson faces Darren Till Saturday at UFC Fight Night 191 – also known as UFC Vegas 36 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 191: Brunson vs. Till odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The entire card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 2 p.m. ET and the main card at 4 p.m. ET.
We get a southpaw vs. southpaw five-round main event in this one. Brunson has a three-inch reach advantage and a 3.46-to-2.27 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. In addition, Brunson leads 3.11 to 0.54 in takedown average.
Where Till is at an advantage is in the age department. “The Gorilla” is nine years younger than his counterpart and will be champing at the bit after losing a unanimous-decision setback to Robert Whittaker in the main event July 25, 2020. He has been rehabbing after suffering a torn medial collateral ligament against Whittaker and a broken collarbone prior to his last scheduled bout but is now healthy and ready to roll.
While Till has lost three of his last four fights, losses to Tyron Woodley, Jorge Masvidal and Whittaker are certainly nothing to be ashamed about. He also has an impressive split-decision victory over Kelvin Gastelum at UFC 244 during that stretch.
UFC Fight Night 191 Brunson vs. Till: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Brunson +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Till -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over +102 | Under -140)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes: +165 | No: -240)
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UFC Fight Night 191 Brunson vs. Till: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Brunson 22-7-0 | Till 18-3-1
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
BRUNSON (+135) has been on a roll, winning his last four fights, and is an attractive live ‘dog at this price.
Till has been fighting much stronger fighters recently but there is just something about the confidence winning brings. Brunson is a little older, and he isn’t a finisher like earlier in his career, but I think he does enough in the technical aspects to wow the judges and get it done.
As such, take BRUNSON ON POINTS (+440) for a nice little payoff. Three of his last four fights have gone the distance, while Till’s last two have also involved the judges.
Over/Under (O/U)
I like Brunson to win this one by way of decision, and that makes YES (+165): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? quite the attractive play in this main event.
OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (+102) is a nice play at plus money if you don’t want to specify a winner and want a little bit of wiggle room rather than just betting on it going the distance.
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