The Pittsburgh Pirates (48-83) and Chicago White Sox (76-56) open a two-game series Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Pirates vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 1-1 after splitting two games at PNC Park in June. The Bucs won the opener 6-3 with the White Sox holding on for a 4-3 win in the finale.
Both clubs had Monday off and enter on one-game win streaks. The Pirates just split a four-game home series with the St. Louis Cardinals, while the White Sox took two of three games at home vs. the Chicago Cubs.
Pittsburgh RHP Bryse Wilson, who was acquired in from the Atlanta Braves July 30, is projected to start Tuesday’s opener. He is 0-2 with a 3.60 ERA (20 IP, 8 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in four starts with the Pirates.
- Combined 2021 stats (Pirates and Braves): 2-5, 4.35 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 6.3 K/9, 2.3 BB/8 in 11 starts
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-2 home loss to Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
- Career vs. White Sox: No appearances
RHP Lucas Giolito is penciled in to start for Chicago. He is 9-9 with a 3.68 ERA (154 IP, 63 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 26 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-1 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
- Career vs. Pirates: 1-0, 2.84 ERA (19 IP, 6 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 23 K in three starts
Pirates at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:33 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Pirates +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | White Sox -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +2.5 (-125) | White Sox -2.5 (+102)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Prediction
White Sox 5, Pirates 2
Money line (ML)
The prediction calls for a White Sox winner, but the -360 price is just too chalky/expensive. The value is actually with the Pirates (+270) where an upset victory would score a 2.70-to-1 payoff.
I could see a placing a small wager – no more than 0.3 units – on Pittsburgh, but I’ll PASS. The Pirates are an NL-worst 19-28 on the road after a win and 20-45 on the road overall, while the White Sox are 44-24 at home overall.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
ATS records: Pirates 60-71 | White Sox 68-64
AVOID laying the 2.5 runs, but BACK the alternate line of WHITE SOX -1.5 (-150) to WIN 1 UNIT.
Chicago is only 22-21 since the All-Star break, but 19 of those 22 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
Plus, when it comes to 1.5-run lines, the Pirates’ 27-38 ATS road record ranks second to last in the majors (the Minnesota Twins are 30th at 26-39).
Over/Under (O/U)
O/U records: Pirates 60-63-8 | White Sox 60-64-8
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100) to WIN a HALF UNIT.
The Under is 35-27-5 at Guaranteed Rate Field this season but just 7-5-2 in the last 14 games there.
As for the Pirates, the Under is 10-3-2 in their last 15 games overall.
Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager – on this card.
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| SINCE JULY 8 | 25-14 | 11-5 | +11.257 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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