The Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) and Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) play the final game of a three-game series at Chase Field Thursday, with a 3:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Phillies RHP Zack Wheeler (10-7, 2.56 ERA) makes his 25th start of the season. The NL Cy Young candidate enters Thursday with a 0.99 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 162 IP.
- Leads MLB in innings (162) and strikeouts (187) while being tied for the league lead in shutouts (two) and complete games (three).
- He is 4-3 on the road, with a 3.10 ERA and 65 strikeouts while allowing a .244 batting average to opposing hitters.
Diamondbacks LHP Madison Bumgarner (6-7, 4.30 ERA) comes into his 19th start with a 1.15 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9.
- Through six starts since July 16, Bumgarner has posted a 2.09 ERA with 26 strikeouts across 38 2/3 IP. The Diamondbacks went 4-2 in those six games.
- Bumgarner is 3-3 at home, with a 4.37 ERA, 43 strikeouts and a .277 opponent batting average.
Phillies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (-120) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Prediction
Phillies 3, Diamondbacks 2
Money line (ML)
The Phillies are 25-34 on the road, as the offense has compiled a .239 batting average away from home.
The Philadelphia offense produced just 4 hits in Wednesday’s 4-2 loss and the NL East’s second-place Phillies have lost two in a row to the worst team in the National League and they have just seven hits total in those two games.
Lean slightly toward PHILADELPHIA (-200).
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Lean toward ARIZONA +1.5 (-105).
The Phillies offense is struggling to produce hits and base runners, let alone any semblance of run support for their pitchers. Only one Phillies hitter has an OPS above .725 in the last eight games and that’s OF Bryce Harper. OF Andrew McCutchen, INF Jean Segura, C J.T. Realmuto and INF Ronald Torreyes have all struggled while 1B Rhys Hoskins remains out of the lineup and won’t play Thursday.
The road team is favored simply because the home team has the worst record in the National League.
Over/Under (O/U)
Lean toward UNDER 7.5 (+105), as Philadelphia is a modest 59-59-2 against the O/U this season.
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