The Miami Marlins (40-53) and Washington Nationals (43-49) play the first game of a three-game set Monday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Ross Detwiler is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 1-0 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with a 10.7 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 over 34 1/3 IP across four starts and 28 relief appearances.
Detwiler will face his former organization as the opener in a bullpen game for Miami. He opened in a doubleheader game against the Philadelphia Phillies Friday and pitched a scoreless inning. Detwiler worked two perfect innings of relief across two appearances against Washington June 24 and 27.
LHP Jon Lester is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 2-4 with a 5.54 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 across 63 1/3 IP spanning 14 starts.
Lester made his last start July 10 and allowed 8 runs (3 earned) with 9 hits and 2 walks in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss at the San Francisco Giants. He allowed 5 or more runs in each of his last four outings, although just 5 earned runs over his last two starts. Lester has been plagued by some poor defense behind him lately.
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Marlins at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:55 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Marlins +105 (bet $100 to won $105) | Nationals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-190) | Nationals -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Nationals 7, Marlins 5
Money line (ML)
The NATIONALS (-125) are a strong play, as the Marlins are a little banged up at the moment. SS Jazz Chisholm left Sunday’s game in Philadelphia due to a bruised shoulder, and 1B Garrett Cooper was also forced out and he is in doubt for Monday. Miami will also be using an opener, and then turning it over to the bullpen, which isn’t advantageous.
In addition, Miami is just 13-39 in its last 52 trips to D.C., and 18-45 in the last 63 battles against the Nationals overall.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The NATIONALS -1.5 (+155) are worth a roll of the dice at this price, even though they’ve been struggling to cobble together wins lately.
Three of their last four victories and six of their last eight were by 2 or more runs. That includes a pair of victories in Miami June 24 and 27.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 9 (-110) is worth a look here. The Over hit in five of the last six games for the Marlins, while going 3-for-3 in the past three outings for the Nationals.
Washington allowed 117 runs across its last 15 games and it yielded 5 or more runs in 14 of the previous 15.
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