In a heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Tai Tuivasa and Greg Hardy meet at UFC 264 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 264 Tuivasa vs. Hardy odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6 p.m ET on ESPN/ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.
Tuivasa has picked up consecutive first-round KO/TKO victories over Harry Hunsucker and Stefan Struve after a three-bout skid. In 15 career professional bouts, he is 11-1 via KO/TKO, and he has 13 stoppages and just two fights go the distance.
Hardy is looking to bounce back after a KO/TKO loss to Marcin Tybura on Dec. 19, 2020. Each of his past two fights has ended via knockout, going 1-1, and seven of his 10 career professional bouts have been KO/TKO results (6-1).
UFC 264 Tai Tuivasa vs. Greg Hardy: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Tai Tuivasa (-135) | Greg Hardy +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Over/Under: 2.5 Rounds (Over +125 | Under -150)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +165 | No -200)
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UFC 264 Tai Tuivasa vs. Greg Hardy: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Tuivasa 12-3-0 | Hardy 7-3-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
This fight is going to be an absolute brawl, and it’s going to end via knockout. As such, without specifying a winner, play KO/TKO/DQ (-165): HOW WILL THE FIGHT FINISH?
In addition, I like TUIVASA (-135) for the win on the 2-way line, as I think he is a little more polished than the former Dallas Cowboys linebacker Hardy (+110). TUIVASA BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+150) is also a value play on the 5-way line.
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Over/Under (O/U)
This fight is not going to need the judges. As such, albeit a bit expensive, take NO (-200): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? for a slam-dunk play.
Going for UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-150) is an even better value, and should come in as well.
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