The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-55) and New York Mets (46-38) play a doubleheader Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch of Game 1 is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Tyler Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 4-8 with a 4.39 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 92 1/3 IP across 16 starts.
Anderson twirled 7 scoreless innings in his most recent outing, a July 4 win against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing just 3 hits and 2 walks while recording 6 strikeouts.
RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 6-6 with a 2.60 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 over 93 1/3 IP through 17 starts.
Stroman allowed 5 runs (3 earned) on 6 hits with a walk and 0 strikeouts across 5 innings receiving a no-decision on the road July 4 against the New York Yankees. He hasn’t won in four starts dating back to June 12.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Pirates at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-150) | Mets -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Mets 5, Pirates 2
Money line (ML)
The Mets (-200) are a little more expensive than I care to spend, especially on a doubleheader. My personal money line limit is -180, and I like to try and stick to that unless I feel very strongly about a play. That isn’t the case here.
AVOID.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The METS -1.5 (+125) are a much better play on the run line in Game 1. Stroman hasn’t pitched terribly well lately, but Anderson has a losing record and he hasn’t had back-to-back quality starts since three straight outings from April 27-May 9.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 5.5 (-115) is the play in the double-dip opener, as that total is just too low. Stroman hasn’t been dominant like he was earlier in the season and Anderson has a dismal 5.75 ERA across 40 2/3 innings in seven starts on the road.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]