The Minnesota Twins (33-48) and Kansas City Royals (35-47) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 3-3 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 56 2/3 IP over 12 starts.
Maeda is looking to rebound after getting tuned up last time out on the road against the Chicago White Sox. He allowed seven earned runs, eight hits and five walks in just 4 2/3 innings in the loss. Maeda had a dismal 6.43 ERA in three June starts, his worst month of the season.
RHP Brad Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 6-8 with a 6.67 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 81 IP over 17 starts.
Keller also had an ugly June, and he has lost each of his past four decisions in a five-start winless skid dating back to June 4. He wrapped up June with a 1-4 record, 8.31 ERA and 17 walks in just 30 1/3 innings across six outings.
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Twins at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (-105) | Royals +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Twins 8, Royals 5
Money line (ML)
The TWINS (-160) look to salvage at least one game from this series after getting outscored 13-7 in the first two outings. They’ll get it done behind Maeda, as Keller has just been erratic lately, and issuing too many walks. That’s the difference here.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The TWINS -1.5 (-105) are a decent value as a small-unit play. While Maeda certainly has had his issues lately, Keller has allowed four or more runs in each of his past five outings, hasn’t gone deep into games, and has shown no signs of turning things around.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 10 (-105) is the play, especially since the Twins are involved. The Over is a ridiculous 23-5-4 in Minnesota’s past 32 games inside the division, and 22-8-2 in the past 32 on the road.
For Kansas City, the Over is 7-3-2 in their past 12 inside the division, and 8-2-2 in the previous 12 against the Twins.
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