The Atlanta Braves (35-38) and Cincinnati Reds (36-36) meet Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET to kick off a four-game series at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jesse Chavez is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. The veteran hurler last pitched in MLB last summer when he logged a 6.88 ERA in 17 relief innings with the Texas Rangers.
Chavez was let go by the Los Angeles Angels in late March but signed a minor-league deal with Atlanta in April. The 37-year-old posted a 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 20 innings across 13 relief appearances at Triple-A Gwinnett. This outing figures to be a spot start and one setting up a bullpen night for the Braves.
RHP Tony Santillan is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. Santillan, a 24-year-old rookie, is making his third start. He is 0-1 with 4 ER, 9 H, 5 BB and 8 K through 7 2/3 innings spanning 2 starts.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Braves at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Braves 5, Reds 4
Money line (ML)
The Braves are coming off a hard-fought four-game split at the New York Mets and are a respectable 6-5 over their last 11 games. The forecast for Atlanta looks better than it did during a 10-13 stretch from mid-May to mid-June, and the Braves were tabbed at 91.5 wins in preseason betting.
The Reds are back home after a long road trip. Cincinnati hit .238/.323/.341 over an odd Milwaukee-to-San Diego-to-Minneapolis voyage from June 14-22.
Almost purely on the leverage of Atlanta having a lesser record than it should and Cincinnati swinging the other way – just a couple games in each case – an ATLANTA (+105) wager is the call here.
Starting pitching usually plays a bigger role in analysis, so a partial-unit amount is suggested. A perhaps road-weary Reds club is leaning a little bit toward bullpen fatigue
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the extra juice in this proposition.
Over/Under (O/U)
Cincinnati has an MLB-best .829 OPS at home but this tag is ripe for some contrarian Under betting. The Cincy weather calls for a warm night but relatively low humidity and an inward breeze helping the pitchers.
BACK THE UNDER 10.5 (-110).
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]