The Boston Red Sox (41-27) and Atlanta Braves (30-34) wrap up their season series Wednesday night with their fourth meeting of the year. First pitch from Truist Park will be at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Garrett Richards is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-4 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 70 1/3 IP over 13 starts.
Richards allowed four runs on 11 hits in just 5 1/3 innings in his last outing against the Blue Jays on Friday, struggling against Toronto’s powerful lineup.
The Red Sox are 5-2 in his seven six starts, scoring at least six runs in five of those games. He is 0-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two career starts against Atlanta.
RHP Ian Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 4-3 with a 3.26 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 66 1/3 IP over 12 starts.
Anderson pitched seven shutout innings in his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, the fourth time this season he’s pitched at least six innings without allowing a run.
The Braves have lost three consecutive starts by Anderson, however. In his only career start against the Red Sox, Anderson allowed two runs in six innings, earning the win.
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Red Sox at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Braves -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Red Sox 6, Braves 4
Money line (ML)
The Red Sox have won their last two games against the Braves, including a 10-8 victory on Tuesday. It’s their sixth win in the last 10 games, while Atlanta has dropped five of its last six.
I like the RED SOX (+135) at plus money on the road, where they are 21-10 on the year.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Boston is 38-30 ATS this season, which compares favorably to the Braves’ 27-37 ATS record. Boston is 18-10 as an underdog this season and has scored 19 total runs in its last two games against Atlanta.
The RED SOX +1.5 (-150) doesn’t come with the value that the money line does, but it protects against a close one-run game.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total has gone Over in five of the Red Sox’s last seven games and in each of the last two meetings between Boston and Atlanta.
Both teams possess powerful lineups, led by the likes of Ronald Acuna Jr., Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers.
Give me the OVER 9 (-120).
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