The Cincinnati Reds (34-31) and Milwaukee Brewers (38-29) play the finale of a three-game set Wednesday at 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Tyler Mahle is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 6-2 with a 3.56 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 68 1/3 IP over 13 starts.
Mahle will face the Brewers for the first time this season. He has won four consecutive starts and allowed four earned runs, five hits and a walk with six strikeouts across six innings in a win last time out against the Colorado Rockies.
RHP Freddy Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 6-1 with a 2.25 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 13.0 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 68 IP over 12 starts and 1 relief appearance.
Peralta has won three straight decisions. Over his last six starts, he has two no-decisions against the Reds while posting a 3.12 ERA across 8 2/3 innings with 13 strikeouts and a .156 opponent batting average.
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Reds at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Brewers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Brewers 4, Reds 3
Money line (ML)
BREWERS (-155) will look to salvage at least one game during the series, as they have had a power outage in the first two games against the Reds (+125).
Peralta has pitched well this season, particularly at home, posting a 4-0 record, 1.37 ERA and .092 opponent batting average across 39 1/3 innings in six starts and one relief appearance at AFF.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The REDS +1.5 (-160) are a decent play if you’re just not trusting the Brewers -1.5 (+135) offense. Milwaukee has crossed the plate for just three total runs in the first two in this series. As such, Cincinnati isn’t a bad option if you want a little insurance.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 8 (-110) is the lean as Milwaukee’s offense has had a power outage lately. Three total runs in two games won’t cut the mustard against anyone. Peralta has that impressive 1.37 ERA at home, so Cincinnati’s offense should struggle in the series finale, too.
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