The Los Angeles Dodgers (36-25) try to complete a three-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates (23-37) Thursday at 12:35 p.m. ET at PNC Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Julio Urias is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 8-2 with a 3.48 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 72 1/3 IP over 12 starts. Urias has six starts in which he has gone at least six innings and allowed two or fewer earned runs. He has won four of his last five starts.
RHP Mitch Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 3-6 with a 6.65 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 5.2 BB/9 in 44 2/3 IP over 11 starts. He has pitched into the sixth inning only twice this season. He pitched only two innings in his last start, exiting with a heat illness.
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Dodgers at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:51 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Pirates +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (+105) | Pirates +2.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Pirates 2
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers have swept only one road series this season and are 17-15 on the road so far. They are 4-6 in the final game of road series this season.
The Pirates have been swept at home twice this year already and face a lopsided pitching matchup.
Take the DODGERS (-250).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Pirates are only 14-17 ATS at home this season but have covered the spread in four of their last six games.
The Dodgers are only 13-19 ATS on the road this season, one of the worst records in the league. However, in Urias’ last five wins, the Dodgers have done so by no fewer than four runs.
Even with the longer spread, take the DODGERS -2.5 (+105).
Over/Under (O/U)
The first two games of this series finished Under the projected total.
In each of Urias’ last four starts and in six of his last seven, the total has gone Over eight runs.
However, in four of Keller’s last six starts, the total was fewer than eight runs.
Take UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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