The San Francisco Giants (32-20) go for a three-game sweep of their NL West rival Los Angeles Dodgers (31-21) on Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The bats have come to play in this series as San Francisco won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-11.
Season series: Dodgers 4-2.
RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 11th start for the Giants. Gausman is 5-0 with a 1.53 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 10.6 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: Win, 8-0, in 5 IP with 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, and 9 K on May 25 at Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-2 with a 4.44 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.44 WHIP, and 9.6 K/9 over 4 starts and 1 bullpen outing.
- vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 119 at-bats with a .328/.404/.538 slash line, 23/16 K/BB, 6 HR, and 20 RBIs.
LHP Clayton Kershaw is the projected starter for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 7-3 with a 2.94 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9, and 9.9 K/9 across 11 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 9-2, in 7 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, and 6 K at Houston Astros on May 25.
- Career vs. Giants: 24-13 with a 1.79 ERA (352 2/3 IP, 70 ER), 0.88 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 over 49 starts and 2 relief appearances.
- vs. Giants on the current roster: 361 at-bats with a .191/.232/.288 slash line, 99/17 K/BB, 8 HR, and 19 RBIs.
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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-150) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Prediction
Giants 5, Dodgers 3
Money line (ML)
Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS (+145) for a quarter unit because this game is priced as if Kershaw is far better than Gausman when in reality these starters are fairly comparable and, if anything, Gausman is having the better season.
In fact, Gausman has a better FIP and xFIP than Kershaw, and San Francisco’s lineup is almost as tough on lefties as L.A.’s is against righties.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the GIANTS +0.5 (-105) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a three-fourths unit because Gausman is having a career season and I want to avoid the late innings since both bullpens are sketchy.
For instance, 8 of Gausman’s 10 outings have been quality starts, 4 of which were against the tough lineups of the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds.
Also, I want to isolate my handicap to the First 5 Innings because while the Dodgers may lead the majors in blown saves with 14 the Giants are second with 13.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS with a slight “lean” to the OVER 7.5 (+100) because the Giants have a 12-7 O/U record as a road dog, the Dodgers are 13-11-1 O/U as a home favorite and they’re 7-4 O/U in Kershaw starts.
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