We get a 12-round WBC bantamweight title bout Saturday when Nordine Oubaali and Nonito Donaire meet at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. The fight’s set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Oubaali vs. Donaire odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.
Oubaali vs. Donaire: Fight odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Nordine Oubaali -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Nonito Donaire +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +1600
Oubaali has an implied win probability of 69.23% with the -225 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 4/9 or a decimal of 1.44.
Oubaali vs. Donaire: Tale of the tape
Nordine Oubaali (-225)
The southpaw Oubaali (17-0, 12 KOs) finally gets his crack at Donaire, a fight originally scheduled for 2020. There were COVID-19 delays on both sides, and this will actually be Oubaali’s first fight since Nov. 7, 2019, when he eased by Takuma Inoue in a unanimous-decision win for his second defense of the WBC strap.
Oubaali is a punching machine who is very, very active, and tries to wow the judges with his high volume of punches. If he can reign himself in, and not try to brawl Donaire, but win the fight with his speed and skill, he should be victorious.
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Nonito Donaire (+200)
Donaire is a veteran, but don’t see this as the twilight of his career. He has said he wants to continue fighting into his 40s, so if you’re a fan of the “Filipino Flash”, that’s great news.
Facing a southpaw might not suit him well, and he will have to pick and choose his spots to counter against a whirling dervish like Oubaali. The one thing everyone agrees on, even Oubaali himself, is that Donaire has tremendous power which must be respected.
This is the kind of fight which could look like it is rather one-sided, then one punch comes from the underdog to flip the script immediately. We’ll see if he can figure out a spot or two for that potential chance.
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Oubaali vs. Donaire: Odds, predictions and picks
Oubaali (-225) will cost you more than two times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive. Instead, you will need to specify a method of victory.
Back OUBAALI ON POINTS (-145) as a much better value. He will come out trying to throw a bunch of punches early, but he will also need to be careful to avoid the big blow from Donaire.
Oubaali, even though we’ve seen him rather infrequently in recent years, has the skill to dance around those big offerings from Donaire and wow the judges based on his better footwork and skills.
If you want to play it safe, and not specify a winner, playing YES (-300): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE FULL 12 ROUNDS? is an expensive play, but a good one.
If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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