The Colorado Rockies (15-28) and San Diego Padres (26-17) play the finale of a three-game set Wednesday at Petco Park with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 2-1 with a 4.79 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 4.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 35 2/3 IP through 6 starts and 2 relief appearances.
Gonzalez is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing just four hits and a walk with two strikeouts in seven scoreless innings for a win over the Cincinnati Reds last Thursday. He hadn’t won since his first start against the Los Angeles Dodgers April 1.
RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 3-4 with a 2.86 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 44 IP across 8 starts.
Musgrove will be making his first appearance of the season against the Rockies. He won last time out against the St. Louis Cardinals Friday, allowing just one run and five hits with four walks over five innings for his first win since April 9, a no-hitter in Texas.
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Rockies at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:00 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (+105) | Padres -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -110 | Under -110)
Prediction
Padres 5, Rockies 2
Money line (ML)
The Padres (-275) will cost you nearly three times your potential return, and that’s just not an attractive play. Gonzalez was sharp last time out, and that’s a concern for the home side.
AVOID.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PADRES -1.5 (-125) is a better play on the run line. They should be able to push past the struggling Rockies +1.5 (+105) by at least two runs. During their five-game win streak they have outscored the opposition 32-11, although two of the wins are just by one run.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 7.5 (-110) was the play Tuesday night, slapping the brakes on a four-game Over run. We should get some decent pitching in this one as both hurlers did a good job last time out. The Under is 3-2 in the first five meetings this season, too.
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