The San Francisco Giants (17-11) take on the Colorado Rockies (10-18) Tuesday night in the second 7-inning game of their doubleheader at Coors Field with an opening pitch set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Giants lead 5-1.
LHP Alex Wood gets the start for the Giants. He is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 0.67 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 3 starts.
- Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 9 K in San Francisco’s 7-3 victory over Colorado Wednesday.
- Career vs. Rockies: 5-3 with a 6.20 ERA (65 1/3 IP, 45 ER), 1.49 WHIP and 8.5 K/9 over 13 starts and 3 relief appearances.
- vs. Rockies on the current roster: 64 at-bats with a .375/.406/.547 slash line and 2 HR.
- Career at Coors Field: 1-2 with a 10.00 ERA (27 IP, 30 ER), 2.04 WHIP and 8.7 K/9 across 7 starts and 1 relief appearance.
RHP Ryan Castellani makes his season debut for the Rockies. Last season, Castellani was 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 over 9 starts and 1 relief appearance in his first year in MLB.
Castellani made 1 start and 1 relief appearance vs. the Giants last year: 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.80 WHIP and 4.1 K/9.
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Giants at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+125) | Rockies +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Giants 5, Rockies 2
Money line (ML)
Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS (-145) for a quarter unit because I much prefer San Francisco’s run line for the First 5 Innings at a plus-money payout.
Castellani has little to no success to speak of and Wood’s stuff has been on-point so far this season. Statcast grades Wood in the 90-plus percentile in expected wOBA, chase rate and barrel% in 2021.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the GIANTS -0.5 (+105) for the FIRST 5 INNINGS instead of their full-game run line price because Wood has a decisive edge over Castellani in the starting pitching matchup and four of San Francisco’s five wins over Colorado this season were by 2 or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8 (-110) for a quarter unit in anticipation of Wood having a good outing and San Francisco’s lineup is in the bottom-third of MLB in several advanced hitting categories.
Also, the Giants could be without three everyday starters including infielders Donovan Solano, Tommy La Stella and Brandon Crawford, and OF Mike Yastrzemski.
There has also been some value in taking the Under in Giants-Rockies games at Coors Field since it’s one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in MLB.
The Under is 5-2-2 in the last nine Giants-Rockies meetings at Coors Field.
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