The New York Mets (9-10) and Philadelphia Phillies (12-13) open a three-game series Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets 4-2
The Mets had Thursday off after getting swept in a two-game series by the visiting Boston Red Sox.
The Phillies continued to alternate wins and losses across their last 9 games, falling 4-3 in 10 innings at the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday.
RHP Marcus Stroman is projected to start for the Phillies Friday. He is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA (24 IP, 6 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 4 starts this season.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-1 home loss to Washington Nationals Saturday
- 2021 vs. Phillies: 2-0, 0.75 ERA (12 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2 starts
- Career vs. Phillies: 4-1, 2.56 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
RHP Chase Anderson is the Phillies’ projected starter. He was 0-3 with a 6.48 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 in 4 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 12-2 defeat at Colorado Rockies Sunday
- 2021 vs. Mets: 0-1, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 2 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 2-4, 4.47 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 10 starts
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Mets at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+115) | Phillies +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Mets 4, Phillies 2
Money line (ML)
Stroman makes the METS (-150) the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Until Saturday’s loss, the 2019 All-Star won his first 3 games of the year, including 2 victories vs. the Phillies.
Philadelphia’s Anderson already lost to New York this season, and he hasn’t pitched more than 4 innings in his last 3 starts. Plus, Philly’s bullpen ranks 13th in the NL with a 4.62 ERA.
While Phillies RF Bryce Harper and SS Didi Gregorius both sat Thursday and are listed as questionable after being hit by pitches the night before, I expect them to play Friday.
Don’t let Harper scare you. The 6-time All-Star only hit .158 (3-for-19) with no homers and 2 RBIs in the first 6 games vs. the Mets this season.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. The Mets own the worst ATS record in the majors and the Phillies are also under .500 ATS.
ATS records: Mets 5-14 | Phillies 12-13
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the way to go. The Under is 2-1-1 in Stroman’s 4 starts, but be warned, the Phillies are 3-1 Over in Anderson’s outings.
The Under is 5-0-1 in the Mets’ last 6 games and 7-1-1 in their last 9, while the Phillies are 3-1 Under in their last 4.
Plus, 4 of their 6 head-to-head meetings this season didn’t see more than 8 runs total.
O/U records: Mets 6-11-2 | Phillies 14-11
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 31-27-1 | 8-7-1 | +2.28 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 134-112-2 | 57-48-1 | +15.83 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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