The Milwaukee Bucks (35-20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (28-26) Saturday for a 9 p.m. ET game at Fiserv Forum. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Bucks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Memphis has won just two of its past five games (3-2 against the spread) and is 4 games in front of the 11th-place New Orleans Pelicans in the West (the 7th- through 10th-place teams qualify for the postseason play-in tournament).
Both of Memphis’s recent wins were against the Chicago Bulls. Sandwiched between was a 114-113 heartbreaking loss to the Dallas Mavericks thanks to a Luka Doncic buzzer-beating 3-pointer.
Milwaukee has won three straight, all on the road and by double digits, which followed a three-game losing skid.
Reigning two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo made his return to action in Milwaukee’s 120-109 win over the Atlanta Hawks Thursday after missing the previous six games with an injury.
Grizzlies at Bucks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:22 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Grizzlies +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Bucks -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +8 (-110) | Bucks -8 (-110)
- Over/Under: 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Grizzlies at Bucks: Key injuries
Grizzlies
- PF Brandon Clarke (hip) questionable
- PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) questionable
- SF Justise Winslow (quadriceps) questionable
- PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
Bucks
- SG Donte DiVincenzo (toe) out
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Grizzlies at Bucks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Bucks 120, Grizzlies 109
Money line (ML)
PASS because I only “lean” Milwaukee covering and there’s no way I’d lay it with Bucks (-350), or any NBA regular-season money line favorite for that matter, given the random outcomes we’ve seen this season.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Memphis second-year PG Ja Morant was sensational in the first Grizzlies-Bucks game this season (35 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists).
Milwaukee All-NBA-caliber defense PG Jrue Holiday came off the bench that game because he was easing back into game action after missing time with COVID.
In their prior three meetings dating back to when Holiday was playing for the New Orleans Pelicans last season, Morant didn’t score more than 16 points and is shooting just 38.9% from the field (21.4% from 3) in four head-to-head games.
With Holiday back to 100% and the possible absences of several Memphis contributors, I “LEAN” BUCKS -8 (-110) for a half unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 237.5 (-110) for a half unit because Milwaukee plays good defense against what Memphis specializes in.
For instance, the Grizzlies score the most paint points per game and second-most fast-break points per game while the Bucks allow the fewest fast-break points per game and the third-fewest paint points per game.
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