The St. Louis Cardinals (6-7) and Philadelphia Phillies (7-6) tangle in the middle game of a three-game series Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Kwang Hyun Kim is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. The sophomore southpaw has been on the shelf after injuring his back in spring training. In 8 games last year, Kim went 3-0 with a 1.62 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 5.54 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 39 IP.
LHP Matt Moore is the projected starter for the Phillies. He is 0-0 with a 7.56 ERA, 2.40 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 through 8 1/3 IP over 2 starts. The reclamation project, who missed most of 2019 after knee surgery and spent 2020 in Japan, has allowed 17 base runners in 8 1/3 IP.
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Cardinals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:00 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (+135) | Phillies +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Phillies 5, Cardinals 4
Money line (ML)
Heading into this series, the Phillies had gone 1-5 over their previous six games. The Redbirds had lost four of their last five. The Phils took a commanding early lead and cruised to a 9-2 victory in Friday’s series opener.
On a fade of Kim — who benefited from generous rates around the margins in his 2020 debut season — and the St. Louis offense, PHILADELPHIA -105 is a solid play Saturday.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on what is a juicier expression of a play on the Phillies.
Over/Under (O/U)
Cool, overcast, breeze-in conditions are in the forecast. A general pitching fade that extends to these bullpens works against that. Happy to take the Over in a hitter’s park, but I’m willing to wait and see if the weather conditions — and Kim’s 2020 ERA — get bettors off the same feel. Go lightly on the plus money at UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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