The Houston Astros (4-0) meet the Los Angeles Angels (3-1) Monday for a mini two-game series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Astros completed a four-game sweep of the 2020 AL West champion Oakland Athletics with a 9-2 win Sunday. Houston outscored Oakland 35-9 in the four games this past weekend.
Los Angeles won back-to-back games and three out of four against the Chicago White Sox, including a 7-4 win Sunday after a 3-run walk-off home run in the ninth by 1B Jared Walsh—his second home run of the game.
RHP Luis Garcia will making his second career start for the Astros. He earned a no-decision in 5 IP with 0 ER, 1 H, 4 K and 2 BB in his first start last season against the Athletics.
The 24-year-old righty is 0-1 with a 2.92 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 9 K over 12 1/3 IP spanning 5 career appearances with 1 start.
LHP José Quintana makes his Angels debut Monday. He played for both Chicago teams over his first nine seasons.
Quintana pitched for the White Sox from 2012-2017 then was traded in-city to the Cubs where he played from 2017-20.
He had only our appearances with a lone start for the Cubs last season and finished 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA, 5 ER, 10 H, 12 K, 3 BB in 10 IP.
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Astros at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+145) | Angels +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Angels 6, Astros 2
Money line (ML)
The Astros were 12-10 vs. lefty starters compared to 17-21 against righties in 2020 and they beat two Athletics lefty starters this past weekend.
That’s the reason why there is value on the ANGELS (-115) in this game. Houston’s win-loss record last season against lefties is a bit flukey considering the lineup was bottom-10 in wRC+, wOBA and OPS vs. lefties in 2020.
Also, Los Angeles won six of its last seven games against a right-handed starter. BET ANGELS (-115) for 1 unit.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line but “LEAN” toward using Angels +1.5 (-175) in a parlay with another similarly priced favorite or run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” toward UNDER 10 (-115) for a quarter-unit if at all because the market is barrelling into the Over, steaming it up from the 8.5-run opener. I’d definitely prefer to “fade” the market rather than follow it.
Most of this action is due to Quintana looking terrible in his 10 innings pitched last year and the Over cashing in nine straight Astros-Angels meetings.
Quintana should be motivated by the change of scenery and he looked good in Spring Training where he went 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA (14 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 15 K, 8 BB) across 5 starts.
That being said, the Angels’ money line is my favorite play in this game.
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