The Texas Tech Red Raiders (17-8 overall, 9-7 Big 12) tussle with the Baylor Bears (20-1, 12-1) in a Sunday matinee at Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. Tip-off will be at 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Texas Tech-Baylor odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.
Baylor is No. 3 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Texas Tech is 18th.
Texas Tech at Baylor: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Texas Tech +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Baylor -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Texas Tech +8.5 (-120) | Baylor -8.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Texas Tech at Baylor: Three things to know
- Baylor is coming off an 81-70 home win over Oklahoma State Thursday. The Bears committed 13 turnovers while forcing 18, marking the eighth straight game BU has won the turnover margin. Over those eight contests, the Bears have committed 10.4 turnovers per game while forcing 16.1.
- Texas Tech lost to Baylor 68-60 Jan. 16. The Raiders have shot 36.3% from 3-point range since that game but went just 6-for-24 against the Bears. Since playing Baylor, TTU has had two three-game win streaks (including a current one) and one three-game losing skid.
- The 3-point arc is very much a line of demarcation between the style in these two offenses. Baylor ranks first in the Big 12 with 24.7 triple attempts per contest. TTU ranks last in the circuit, attempting just 18.0 3-pointers per game. The frequency makes sense for both; the Bears are shooting 42.0% from distance; the Raiders are shooting 34.0%.
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Texas Tech at Baylor: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Baylor 73, Texas Tech 63
Money line (ML)
STEER CLEAR. Baylor -350 brings a sliver of value, but current prices are out of range.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The Red Raiders are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams playing better than .600 basketball, and they’re 1-4 ATS over their last five road games.
Texas Tech makes its hay against lesser defensive units than the one it will see Sunday afternoon. Baylor’s ability to create turnovers and then get out and score in transition and from distance is a problem for TTU.
The Raiders aren’t an above-average defense on the perimeter. BU went just 6-for-24 from 3-point-land in the first meeting. An average shooting game (for a dialed-in Bears offense) spells a double-digit win for the home five.
BACK BAYLOR -8.5 (+100).
Over/Under (O/U)
This match-up hit the Under in the January game. The Over is 8-1 in nine BU games since. The Under is the lean but only at a tag closer to 140.
PASS.
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