Many offensive plays from the Dallas Cowboys’ 2020 season stand out, from CeeDee Lamb’s twisting endzone grab to Dak Prescott’s first career touchdown reception. But which ones did the most damage in terms of EPA?
EPA measures the value of any individual play in terms of expected points, by calculating the scoring probability based where the team is on the field, the down and distance, and the time remaining in the game. The increase (or decrease) in scoring probability after the play is expressed in terms of Expected Points Added, and provides a different lens through which to view the game. These are the plays where the Dallas offense most helped their cause, the big plays which most contributed toward putting points on the board. Their sources might be a little surprising.
EPA stats via nflfastR Play Index.