The Saint Louis Billikens (11-3 overall, 4-2 A-10) visit the Dayton Flyers (11-7, 7-6) Friday night for an Atlantic-10 Conference tilt. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at UD Arena. Below, we analyze the Saint Louis-Dayton college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
No A-10 teams are ranked in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Billikens sit fifth in the A-10, two-and-a-half games behind first-place VCU.
The Flyers, who were 29-2 overall and a perfect 18-0 in conference play last season before the NCAA COVID-19 shutdown, are in eighth place. Behind current New York Knicks PF Obi Toppin – the 2020 NBA Draft’s No. 8 overall pick – the Flyers were ranked No. 3 in the country and likely would have been a No. 1 seed in last season’s NCAA Tournament had it not been canceled.
Saint Louis at Dayton: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Saint Louis -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Dayton +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Against the spread/ATS: Saint Louis -5.5 (-120) | Dayton +5.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Saint Louis at Dayton: Three things to know
- Dayton, which was a 9-point underdog, won at Saint Louis 76-71 in the season’s first meeting between the A-10 rivals with senior G Jalen Crutcher scoring a game-high 27 points. The Flyers led wire-to-wire as the Billikens played their first game in 33 days following a COVID-19 pause.
- Saint Louis enters on a 4-game win streak, going 4-1 since the loss to Dayton. The Billikens are 3-1 ATS in the four wins, outscoring opponents by 16.8 points per game. They beat La Salle 78-57 Tuesday, covering the spread as 16-point home favorites. Senior G Javonte Perkins was the Billikens’ top scorer in five of their last six games and averages a team-best 17.9 PPG.
- Dayton suffered a heartbreaking 91-89 double-overtime loss at Rhode Island Tuesday. The Flyers covered the spread as 3-point underdogs but blew a 59-44 lead with 8:29 to go in regulation. On the bright side, freshman F Zimi Nwokeji scored a career-high 29 points. For the season, Crutcher leads UD in scoring (18.9 PPG) and assists (4.8 APG).
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Saint Louis at Dayton: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Saint Louis 67, Dayton 65
Money line (ML)
PASS. Dayton (+220) is tempting. The Flyers have won the last six at home in this series. But this isn’t your typical “good” Dayton squad, and Saint Louis will be focused on avenging last month’s loss.
However, the Billikens’ -275 ML price is too high.
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Against the spread (ATS)
DAYTON +5.5 (+100) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. While the Billikens are in a groove, riding a 4-game win streak, the Flyers get the nod with this being their Senior Night.
Seniors Crutcher, G Rodney Chatman, G Ibi Watson and C Jordy Tshimanga have meant so much to the UD program. It’s hard to imagine the Flyers not playing one of their best games of the season.
ATS: Saint Louis 9-5 | Dayton 10-8
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 136.5 (-110) is the way to go. Saint Louis’ defense ranks 38th in the country, allowing 63.6 PPG. It has surrendered just 54.0 PPG in its last four games. The Flyers only score 69.3 PPG and yield 67.2 PPG.
Expect a low-scoring slugfest.
O/U records: Saint Louis 8-6 | Dayton 10-8
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