Purdue at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Purdue Boilermakers (7-5 overall, 2-3 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (8-3, 2-3) Friday for a 7 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Purdue-Michigan State college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Purdue at Michigan State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Purdue +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Michigan State -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Purdue +4.5 (-110) | Michigan State -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 143.5. (O: -110 | U: -110)

Purdue at Michigan State: Three things to know

  1. Purdue visits East Lansing, Mich., on a two-game skid, most recently falling at then-No. 16 Illinois 66-58 Saturday – the game was a push as Purdue was an 8-point underdog. The Boilermakers led 42-39 with 13:50 to go before the Illini grabbed the lead for good one minute later at 43-42. A 39.3% field-goal percentage (22-for-56) did in Purdue, which received a team-high 14-points apiece from junior F Trevion Williams and freshman G Brandon Newman. Purdue was scheduled to host Nebraska Tuesday, but the game was postponed in a mutual agreement between the two programs due to health and safety concerns. Williams leads the Boilers with 14.1 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game.
  2. Michigan State knocked off No. 14 Rutgers 68-45 as a 3-point home favorite Tuesday. Junior F Aaron Henry scored a game-high 20 points with 8 rebounds and 4 blocks as the Spartans won a second in a row after dropping three consecutive Big Ten games – a slide that saw the Spartans fall out of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll. Henry leads Michigan State in points (14.0 PPG), assists (3.8 APG) and steals (1.6 SPG), while junior F Joey Hauser is the top rebounder (8.5 RPG).
  3. The Boilermakers stunned the Spartans 71-42 as 4-point home underdogs last season (Jan. 12). Purdue held Michigan State to 35.3% shooting (18-for-51), including just 2-for-16 behind the 3-point arc. It was Purdue’s second win in a row in the head-to-head series, which is tied 5-5 in the last 10 meetings.

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Purdue at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Michigan State 75, Purdue 68

Money line (ML)

The Spartans win this one, but I’ll PASS on the -200 ML price and focus on the spread below.

Against the spread (ATS)

MICHIGAN STATE -4.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Both teams have been terrible against the spread. Purdue is 3-7-2 ATS and Michigan State is 3-8 ATS.

The Spartans, who are coming off impressive back-to-back victories, get the nod here, especially with the contest on their home floor.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The O/U of 142.5 is right where my projection is. Purdue averages 71.6 PPG and Michigan State is scoring at a 78.0 PPG clip. Defensively, the Boilermakers have a slight edge, yielding 67.3 PPG compared to the Spartans’ 72.8 PPG. Backing either the Over or the Under would just be a flip of a coin, which offers no advantage here.

O/U records: Purdue 7-5 | Michigan State 6-5

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays 22-20 / 8-12
CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays 7-3 / 3-2
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 15-8 / 8-4
2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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