The New Mexico Lobos (0-4 overall, 0-4 Mountain West) visit the Utah State Aggies (0-4, 0-4) Thursday for a 7 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the New Mexico-Utah State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
New Mexico at Utah State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: New Mexico -239 (bet $239 to win $100) | Utah State +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Against the spread/ATS: New Mexico -6.5 (-110) | Utah State +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)
New Mexico at Utah State: Three things to know
- The Lobos are favored despite the fact they were shut out 28-0 at Air Force last Friday. UNM is averaging just 18.5 points per game, ranking 114th in the nation, and it is allowing 33.0 PPG to check in 89th overall.
- The Aggies are coming off a 35-16 home setback to Fresno State last time out on Nov. 14. Not only are they 0-4 SU, but they have failed to cover in each outing, too. They’re missing QB Jordan Love, who led their potent offense in 2019 and was the Green Bay Packers’ first-round NFL Draft pick (26th overall). The Aggies offense is in disarray this season, averaging just 11.3 PPG to rank 126th.
- The Lobos are 5-17 ATS in the past 22 against teams with a losing record, and 7-19 ATS in the past 26 inside the conference. They’re also 2-9 ATS in the past 11 as a favorite. The Aggies are 7-21 ATS in the past 28 as an underdog, and 1-10 ATS in the past 11 as a home dog. The Under is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings in this series.
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New Mexico at Utah State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
New Mexico 26, Utah State 17
Money line (ML)
New Mexico (-239) will cost you more than two times your potential return, and that’s a risky proposition on a team which was just shut out and is winless in four games. AVOID.
Against the spread (ATS)
NEW MEXICO -6.5 (-110) is worth playing lightly, as they have at least had a functional offense until last week. QB Tevaka Tuioti is a question mark due to a concussion, so watch Twitter and social media closely on his status before finalizing your pick. QB Trae Hall is not nearly as dependable should he get the nod.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 51.5 (-115) is easily the best bet on the board in this Thanksgiving night matchup of winless clubs. UNM is coming off a scoreless outing and has quarterback health issues, while USU cannot get out of its own way offensively, and has yet to score more than 16 points in a single game. I am surprised the total is so high. Take advantage.
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