The Purdue Boilermakers (2-1 overall, 2-1 Big Ten) visit the Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-3, 1-3) in a Friday Big Ten West tussle at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Purdue-Minnesota college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Purdue at Minnesota: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 12:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Purdue -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Minnesota -106 (bet $106 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Purdue -1 (-110) | Minnesota +1 (-110)
- Over/Under: 60.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)
Purdue at Minnesota: Three things to know
- Minnesota won last year’s meeting 38-31 in a late September game at West Lafayette, Ind. Trailing 28-17 entering the final quarter, Purdue managed to score two touchdowns in the final 6 minutes to make it close. The Boilermakers were a minus-2 in turnover margin in what was a relatively even-yardage game.
- The Gophers have won five straight series games at home vs. the Boilermakers. Minnesota is 3-2 ATS over those five contests, but the two non-covers were in games that had the Gophers tabbed as double-digit favorites (2014, ’16).
- Junior RB Mohamed Ibrahim has helped the Golden Gophers pile up over 35 minutes of possession time per game. Ibrahim is a workhorse back who has averaged 32.5 carries per game and 5.5 yards per attempt. His 715 rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs have been a key part of a Minnesota offense which ranks fourth in the nation in time of possession (35:36).
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Purdue at Minnesota: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Minnesota 28, Purdue 27
Money line (ML)
The Gophers are a slight lean, but not enough to warrant a play on implied odds of 51.46%. It’d require a tag of +140-or-better to make for some value here. PASS.
Against the spread (ATS)
The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in this series. The Golden Gophers lost to Iowa last week; they are 6-1 ATS over their last seven games following a straight-up loss.
The Minnesota offense has been really bad (7.9 yards per play — 126th FBS) in its four games, but that YPP figure is tinged with a horrendous start over the team’s first two games and a better effort over the last two. The UM defensive struggles also overshadow Purdue’s offensive woes: The Boilermakers’ 369 yards per game rank 86th in the nation.
Minnesota was undone by horrible field position in last week’s contest. Figure on UM having enough pass defense and enough of a ground game to cover here. Back the GOPHERS +1 (-110).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Gophers will want to clock a lead or anything close. A 20-something-20-something score is more likely than either side getting 35. Back the UNDER 60.5 (-106).
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