The Oregon State Beavers (15-12, 5-10 in Pac-12) stop by Matthew Knight Arena Thursday to play the in-state Pac-12-rival Oregon Ducks (21-7, 10-5 in Pac-12), in an 11 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Oregon State-Oregon odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
Oregon State at Oregon: Three things you need to know
- Oregon State dropped its third consecutive game when it lost 74-73 to the Arizona State Sun Devils Saturday. Barring a Pac-12 Tournament win, the Beavers will likely miss their fourth straight NCAA Tournament.
- Oregon bounced back from its own loss to Arizona State by upsetting the Arizona Wildcats 73-72 in overtime Saturday. The Ducks are on track to earn their seventh NCAA Tournament bid in eight seasons.
- The Beavers upset the Ducks at home in their first meeting this season, winning 63-53 Feb. 8. Oregon State outscored Oregon 35-21 in the second half and had four starters score in double figures.
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Oregon State at Oregon: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Oregon 78, Oregon State 61
Moneyline (ML)
Oregon State (+400) already got a miraculous upset-win at home against Oregon (-556) so you cannot anticipate the Ducks overlooking the Beavers in this one. The Ducks have struggled recently, going 3-3 overall in their last six games, but they are still just a half-game back of Arizona State for first place in the Pac-12. It’s kind of shocking to see Oregon as such a heavy favorite in this spot given Oregon State has won three straight and four out of five against the Ducks.
I am going to trust BetMGM’s projection on this game and PASS ON THE MONEYLINE because of poor value for both teams.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The fact the Ducks are laying 10 points is so stunning after looking at their season-long and head-to-head trends that I’d recommend TAKING OREGON -10 (-110). The only rationale I can see behind that being a horrible price is BetMGM making the Ducks pricier because they are such a public team. Otherwise, I cannot really figure it out. What I do know is the Ducks are 7-3 against the spread in home games versus winning teams while the Beavers are 3-4 ATS when playing winning teams on the road. Also, Oregon is 9-5 ATS as a home favorite with a 17.6-point average margin of victory.
Over/Under (O/U)
The trends overwhelmingly favor an OVER 135.5 (-110) bet on the total. Oregon and Oregon State are ranked first and second in Over percentages in the Pac-12 conference. Oregon has a 10-4 Over/Under record at home and Oregon State is 8-2 O/U in road games. The Over is 6-1 in the Beavers’ last seven games as a road underdog and 7-1 in the Ducks last eight games as a home favorite.
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