The New York Islanders (25-12-3) host the Colorado Avalanche (25-13-4) Monday at Nassau Coliseum for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop. We analyze the Avalanche-Islanders sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.
Avalanche at Islanders: Projected starting goalies
Philipp Grubauer vs. Semyon Varlamov
Grubauer enters Monday with back-to-back wins improving his season record to 12-9-3. He has a .911 save percentage and 2.87 goals against average. He has been best on the road this season with a .919 SV% and 2.66 GAA against rates of .901 and 3.11 at home.
Varlamov faces his former team for the first time. He lost each of his last two starts to begin 2020, stopping 49 of 53 shots on goal. He’s 14-5-3 on the season with a .920 SV% and 2.40 GAA.
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Avalanche at Islanders: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Avalanche 6, Islanders 3
Moneyline (ML)
Both clubs are 4-5-1 straight up across their last 10 games, but the Avalanche (-129) have won back-to-back games while the Islanders (+105) lost their last two. They both had Sunday off after playing Thursday and Saturday. Colorado is a dominant 14-6-2 on the road while New York is equally impressive at home at 13-5-2.
Take the AVALANCHE (-129). Both teams have overachieved this season, but the Avs have been closer to expectations with a Corsi rating (percentage of total shot attempts) of 50.58% at 5-on-5. The Isles are second to last in the NHL with a rate of 46.19%.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Avalanche to win in regulation, overtime or a shootout returns a profit of $7.75.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The Avs are 26-16 against the spread overall and 16-6 on the road while the Isles are 18-22 ATS overall and 7-13 at home. Roll with the AVALANCHE (-1.5, +200) to win by at least 2 goals, as they’ve done in each of their last seven victories.
Over/Under (O/U)
The projected total is set at just 4.5 (Over -223, Under +180). Liking the higher number here, we’ll get better odds on the alternate Over/Under of OVER 6.5 (+185). Colorado is 7-3 against the projected totals over its last 10 games while New York is 4-6. We’ll need the two teams to combine for at least 7 goals.
Esten’s NHL betting record: 156-132
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