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Cal vs. Stanford fearless prediction and game preview.
Cal vs. Stanford Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 23
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
Network: Pac-12 Network
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Cal (5-5) vs. Stanford (4-6) Game Preview
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Why Cal Will Win
Stanford isn’t going to be able to run.
It’s simple. The Cardinal can throw – more on this in a moment – but it wins games when the ground attack works even a little bit.
They’ve won four games this year, and three of them were their best rushing performances so far, coming up with 132 yards or more in those three. Essentially, running well is a must to get this done.
It is possible to run a wee bit on this Bear defensive front, but it has allowed 107 yards or fewer in three of its last four games, and Arizona State were the only teams that committed hard to the ground attack and made it work.
Offensively, Cal has to simply keep things moving.
It’s not going to hit a slew of home runs, but it should be able to roll on third downs against a defense that can’t seem to come up with a key stop.
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Why Stanford Will Win
Okay, Davis Mills. Do that again.
Star QB KJ Costello hasn’t been right all season long, but Mills was able to step in and beat Washington and Oregon State, and he stepped up against Washington State last week and threw for 504 yards and three scores …
And lost. Badly.
The Cardinal should’ve been able to run at will on the Cougar defense – it ran ten times or six yards – and instead it got into a firefight with Wazzu throwing for 520 yards and five scores, and …
Cal isn’t going to throw for 520 yards and five scores with Devon Modster at quarterback.
Chase Garbers has been banged up, and he tried to give it a go, but he was out against USC. Modster was able to beat Washington State with a sharp 230-yard, three-score passing day, but he struggled against everyone else, including in the loss to the Trojans with two picks.
Stanford isn’t going to be able to run, but the Cal secondary has been getting hit really, really hard.
Washington State bombed away for 407 yards and two scores, and USC’s Kedon Slovis hit 83% of his passes for 406 yards and four touchdowns.
Mills has to bomb away and hope the Cardinal are on the right side this week.
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What’s Going To Happen
Both teams are sinking.
Cal has lost five of its last six games and needs just one more win to go bowling, and it’s not going to happen this week – it’ll have to try getting it done at UCLA.
Mills will outplay Modster.
The Bear pass defense isn’t playing well enough, Stanford’s passing game will be just enough to force Modster to push the offense a bit, and it’ll be an interesting win that puts it in position to get bowl eligible if it can get by Notre Dame next week.
Cal vs. Stanford Prediction, Line
Stanford 26, Cal 17
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Stanford -2.5, o/u: 40
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5
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Must See Rating: 3
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