Buffalo Bills +125 over HOUSTON TEXANS

Under 43.5

Let’s get started with a bold prediction. The Buffalo Bills will win their first playoff game in forever with a victory over the Texans. We aren’t even taking the points and you should always just take the points and not get cute — for record-keeping purposes we will take the points as well.

This is a simple pick because the Buffalo Bills have been more consistent this year. The argument that they haven’t beaten anyone is kind of odd since they could have beaten the Patriots twice, but everyone says the Patriots aren’t good either. They embarrassed the Cowboys on Thanksgiving in Dallas. They won the games they should have won. Buffalo has been more consistent than Houston by any measure this year. That’s a fact.

Now, I would switch this bet if Will Fuller was playing but all reports say that it’s a longshot he will play in this game. That means Tre’Davious White gets to match up with DeAndre Hopkins and the rest of the Buffalo defense gets to do what it does, which is shut down opposing offenses. This isn’t rocket science. J.J. Watt is coming back from injury, but he’s not going to be able to make a huge impact in his first game back after being out most of the season.

The over kind of looked tasty, but it’s tough to take the over in any game where the Bills are playing because Josh Allen hasn’t proven he can move an offense consistently. The Bills make just enough plays to win this game.