NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -4.5 over Tennessee Titans

Under 44.5

I know. I know. Everyone loves the Titans in this game and this where the underdog moneyline is actually a play. I recognize everyone is waiting for the Patriots dynasty to die. I just don’t think it happens this week, at home, in bad weather.

It will be raining or snowing depending on how cold it gets in Foxborough Massachusetts. That benefits the defenses in this game and the Patriots defense is better than the Titans defense — last weekend was an aberration. Plus, the Titans offense is predicated on big plays in the passing game. The weather may put a slight hindrance on Ryan Tannehill’s ability to go deep after play action.

Really this pick is based on sheer confidence that if this is Tom Brady’s last game in New England — it isn’t — that he won’t want to walk away from Gillette Stadium a loser. The Patriots dynasty lives on one more week until they get absolutely worked by the Chiefs.