1. Tampa Bay at San Francisco
LINE San Francisco -3.5
ATS PICK San Francisco
I did it. I got through this whole thing without dealing with the Vikings being the underdog against Detroit. That seems too obvious, Detroit isn’t that good, and no, I didn’t want a part of any of it. It felt too trapy.
Forget the glass being half full/half empty way of looking at things. I look at Tampa Bay as the one that played those first 57 minutes against New Orleans and not the last three in the 17-16 miracle win.
Brady is playing fine. It’s not enough. It’s the worst rushing team in the NFL, and things aren’t going to get any better against the league’s best run defense.
No, I’m not believing that it’s Brock Montana under center for the 49ers, but the offense should get just enough out of the passing game to be fine.
Brock Purdy doesn’t have to do much other than not screw up. The defense will take care of the rest.
Tampa Bay’s defense will keep this from getting out of hand, but it doesn’t force enough turnovers to matter. Purdy can be functional, his ground game should be able to hit 120 yards, and to keep hammering this home, it’s about the defense doing its thing at home.
San Francisco has one home loss to Kansas City. There was a 22-16 win over the Chargers, and the rest have been blowouts.
Enough stalling. San Francisco is good, Tampa Bay isn’t, and all eight 49er wins have been by six or more.
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