4. New York Jets at Buffalo
POINT TOTAL 43.5
PICK Under
I liked the over in this all week.
The 20-17 Buffalo win in Week 9 was on the road, the offense has stopped with the turnovers and is killing it out the ground, and this might be one of those statement moments this team likes to make.
Anytime you have a team that can take care of most of the point total on its own, you go with the over. That’s not to say the Bills will put up 40ish on the board, but it could hang 30.
Three of the last four Bill games have blown past 44, Mike White has given the Jets a real, live passing game, and ….
It’s Buffalo, New York in mid-December. Always check the weather forecast when it comes to point totals.
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On Sunday it’s supposed to rain in the morning and turn into snow later with a fun mixture of wind, freezing temperatures, and all that snain – the brutal mixture of snow and rain that needs to be experienced at least once in a football fan’s life – should turn this ugly.
The Jet passing game won’t stop, but it won’t be smooth. The defense should keep this from getting out of hand in the conditions, Buffalo will run enough to push through, and this might get really sloppy really fast.
Not buying that? Let’s try another before going back into the ATS side …