LINE Tennessee -3.5
ATS PICK Tennessee
Let’s not make this any more complicated than it has to be.
Tennessee doesn’t lose to bad teams, and all eight of Jacksonville’s losses were by four or more.
Tennessee lost to Philadelphia. It lost to Kansas City in overtime. It lost to the Giants and Bills and Bengals.
And the wins? Six of the seven were by four or more except for the 24-22 fight with Las Vegas.
It’ll get it done against a Jacksonville run defense that’s struggling a wee bit. It’s been okay all year, but over the last three games it got hammered by Kansas City, Baltimore, and Detroit for 417 total yards.
By the way, Derrick Henry vs Jacksonville for his career? Over 100 yards per game and 15 scores in 11 meetings.
Trevor Lawrence is hurting with a toe injury. Whatever, it’s December in the NFL – everyone has a (insert body part here) injury – but it should be a wee bit of a factor. If he’s not amazing, just forget it – Jacksonville isn’t running on the Titans, and …
Again, all eight Jaguar losses by four or more, and only one by less than six. Don’t mess with it.
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